The Covid-19 pandemic has fundamentally changed the social and economic constructs of our society and will continue to influence even after it is over. The primary goal for scientists and policy-makers is to curb the spread of the infection until a vaccine or a treatment is developed. Social distancing has been recommended and used as a critical lever to curb the spread of Covid-19 infections. Many simulations around the world are set up to try to project the spread of infections, the death toll from these infections, and the demand for healthcare services.
At the CHOICE Institute, we aim to contribute to this growing body of work. Our focus has been on knowing the current unknowns rather than forecasts. For example, the infection fatality rate among those who are affected today can help to recover the evolution of likely symptomatic cases that were undetected, understand about testing coverages, and trend in incident cases better. A more accurate estimate for the current unknowns will also help forecast the future unknowns better.
Our ultimate hope is that our study results can help inform local and national policies that will save lives in the future
Estimating the Infection Fatality Rate among Symptomatic Covid-19 Cases in the US
We continue to update this analysis as more data becomes available. We have also developed estimates for the potential number of symptomatic and total Covid-19 infections at the county level. A web-platform documenting these statistics at the county-level can be found here: